Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 10.252825 11.468729 12.782383 14.308930 16.036380 17.933141 20.177140
2025-05-04 8.502778 10.131371 12.015168 14.362251 17.218016 20.592250 24.899353
2025-05-11 6.999941 8.815414 11.045501 14.002080 17.842357 22.693313 29.335164
2025-05-18 5.867638 7.770965 10.241024 13.709077 18.496786 24.937467 34.365783
2025-05-25 4.989973 6.920832 9.556720 13.460424 19.166910 27.315622 40.034097
2025-06-01 4.317908 6.249777 9.013931 13.317396 19.957754 29.995261 46.660641
2025-06-08 3.788861 5.705420 8.570350 13.245088 20.837269 32.954673 54.310250
2025-06-15 3.452938 5.400479 8.436880 13.622104 22.475399 37.383175 65.264424
2025-06-22 3.066895 4.962911 8.033371 13.498160 23.266118 40.547712 74.708513
2025-06-29 2.702609 4.511392 7.544131 13.151428 23.609162 42.986098 83.342176
2025-07-06 2.420808 4.161570 7.178167 12.962502 24.200545 45.976708 93.704731
2025-07-13 2.252525 3.987360 7.094464 13.274602 25.788777 51.169771 109.796227
2025-07-20 2.103715 3.834645 7.039055 13.652909 27.620495 57.303982 129.688774
2025-07-27 1.944894 3.643314 6.886387 13.817174 29.048838 62.893722 149.847992
2025-08-03 1.758333 3.375694 6.551377 13.555766 29.518603 66.469193 166.102402
2025-08-10 1.599074 3.142829 6.256154 13.335052 30.045590 70.300949 184.124792
2025-08-17 1.461234 2.937033 5.990565 13.139863 30.601574 74.332978 203.888394
2025-08-24 1.346899 2.766726 5.778567 13.034969 31.361506 79.055089 227.065176
2025-08-31 1.249728 2.621719 5.603325 12.990175 32.268349 84.373976 253.713233
2025-09-07 1.193883 2.560432 5.606664 13.379387 34.383633 93.497065 295.398924
2025-09-14 1.109216 2.424819 5.423040 13.272866 35.144431 98.937406 326.679643
2025-09-21 1.019003 2.266607 5.167572 12.943441 35.225252 102.390367 352.226075
2025-09-28 0.946902 2.142889 4.980071 12.765937 35.714061 107.226462 384.579217